The Many Roads To Victory

Its been suggested by various pundits today, including Norah O'Donnell on MSNBC, that Obama's campaign moving into North Dakota and Arizona is a sign of arrogance. David Axelrod, of course, knows its about creating multiple pathways to victory. Setting North Dakota and Arizona aside, for the moment, here is my take on the more probable roads to victory.

Assuming Obama wins what are considered "solid blue" states right now, he will have a solid 238 delegates. Those states are:

IL
VT
WI
HI
IA
NH
MN
RI
MI
CT
WA
NJ
OR
ME
CA
NY

Here are some possible options:

[PA 21 or OH 20 + VA 13= 33/34]

OR

[PA 21 or OH 20 + CO 9 + NV 5 or NM 5= 35]

OR

[NV 5 + CO 9 + NM 5 + VA 13 = 32]

(Note: This doesn't even include Florida, North Carolina, Missouri or Indiana!)

The point is twofold. Obama can actually win without Florida, Ohio or Pennsylvania. If he takes any one of those, its virtually impossible for him to lose.

But only if you VOTE.